Abstract:
Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China (except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan province, the same below) in May 2024.
Methods Based on various data and departmental notification information on domestic and foreign public health emergencies reports and surveillance of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was used and experts from provincial (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government) centers for disease control and prevention were invited to participate in the assessment by video conference.
Results It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in May 2024 would be at the same level as that in April 2024. The main public health emergencies would be infectious diseases. Recently, the domestic epidemic of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) variant JN.1 have shown a downward trend. Cases of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) remain primarily reported from historically high-incidence provinces. Pertussis continues to spread at a relatively high level. The number of reported cases of scarlet fever is expected to peak in late May to early June during the spring season. Currently, the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) continues to rise. The reported incidence of measles may increase compared to 2023. Human infections with avian influenza remain sporadic.
Conclusion Attention should be paid to the KP.2 variant of COVID-19, SFTS, pertussis, scarlet fever, HFMD, measles, and human infections with avian influenza.
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