Li Zhonglai et al, . Models for Forecasting Positive Rate of HBsAg in Undergraduates[J]. Disease Surveillance, 1997, 12(4): 143-145. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.1997.4.143
Citation: Li Zhonglai et al, . Models for Forecasting Positive Rate of HBsAg in Undergraduates[J]. Disease Surveillance, 1997, 12(4): 143-145. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.1997.4.143

Models for Forecasting Positive Rate of HBsAg in Undergraduates

  • According to the students' positive rates of HBsAg,the grey model and moving average method were conducted for the dynamic models of HBsAg in Beijing Normal University in 1991-1995.Forecasting results:the relative errors of the positive rate were 6.78% in boy undergraduates and 15.37% in girls respectively in 1996.
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