The conceptual model of the automatic early-warning system of infectious diseases monitoring based on direct network reporting system

Objective The study was conducted to bring up the conceptual model of the daily dynamic and automatic early-warning system of infectious disease monitoring based on direct net-work reporting system with the advantages of the surveillance information resources，SO as to real-ize the automatic early warning of the infectious disease outbreaks．Methods With the referential historic data and the basic idea to adopt the mobile percentile method，the statistic conceptual model was established．Results Based on the monitoring of the information platform，the auto-matic system was established with regulating parameters installed，and the sensibility and specificity of the early-warning threshold value were dynamically corrected．Thus，the dynamic early—warning of infectious disease monitoring was realized．Conclusion This study provided an instructive conceptual model and validating method of automatic early-warning system of infectious disease monitoring based on direct network reporting system for the infectious disease monitoring institu-tions at all levels