Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, November 2019

ObjectiveTo assess the risks of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in November 2019.

MethodsAn internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this conference through video terminal.

ResultsIt is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies, which might be the epidemics of varicella, seasonal influenza, mumps, other infectious diarrhea and hand foot and mouth disease, would be higher in November than in October 2019, but it might be lower than the average of same month in previous three years. There would be a seasonal increase of the incidence of influenza, and the incidence of infectious diarrhea caused by norovirus would continue to increase. In November, the incidence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning would increase due to heating as the approaching of winter.

ConclusionClose attention should be paid to the incidence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, and general attention should be paid to the public health risks of seasonal influenza and infectious diarrhea caused by norovirus.