Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in China, November 2023

  Objective   To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China (except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan province, the same below) in November 2023.

  Methods  Based on various data and departmental notification information on domestic and foreign public health emergencies reports and surveillance of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was used and experts from provincial (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government) centers for disease control and prevention were invited to participate in the assessment by video conference.

  Results  It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in November 2023 would be higher than that in October 2023. The main public health emergencies would be infectious diseases such as influenza-like illness and seasonal influenza, COVID-19, Mpox, norovirus enteritis. The national epidemic of COVID-19 in China would still be at a low level, with less impact on medical order and social operation. Among men who have sex with men, the risk of sustained transmission of Mpox remains higher, with lower risk in the general population. The activity of influenza in both northern and southern provinces showed an upward trend at present, with a low to medium level overall. Autumn and winter peaks are expected, and the epidemic intensity is seasonal. It is expected that the epidemic of norovirus enteritis and the risk of nonoccupational carbon monoxide poisoning will increase.

  Conclusion  Special attention should be paid to COVID-19, close attention should be paid to Mpox, and general attention should be paid to influenza-like illness and seasonal influenza, norovirus enteritis and nonoccupational carbon monoxide poisoning.