Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China (except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan province, the same below) in December 2024.
Methods Based on the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and surveillance results of key infectious diseases or notifications from relative agencies and departments, the expert consultation conference was hold and experts from provincial (autonomous region and municipal) centers for disease control and prevention attended this conference through video terminal.
Results It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in December 2024 would be at the same level as that in November 2024. The main public health emergencies would be infectious diseases. At present, the overall prevalence of acute respiratory infectious diseases continues to rise, and the recent epidemic situation of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China is still at a low level. It is estimated that the COVID-19 may pick up slightly in December 2024, but it is still likely to be at a low level. The positive rate of influenza virus testing in southern and northern provinces of China has increased, and there is a possibility of sporadic and small clusters of human infection with avian influenza. At present, the mpox epidemic in China is fluctuating at a low level, and there is a possibility of African mpox cases entering China. The outbreak of norovirus is in a preliminary upward trend.
Conclusion Attention should be paid to multiple acute respiratory infectious diseases, COVID-19, influenza, human infection with avian influenza, mpox, norovirus enteritis.
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