2017年11月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned inthe mainlandof China, November 2017

  • 摘要: 目的 评估2017年11月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法 根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果 人感染H7N9禽流感可能会出现散发病例。流行性感冒等呼吸道传染病也将出现季节性升高。11月登革热总体疫情将逐渐下降,但海南等热带地区仍存在输入引发本地暴发的风险可能。近期马达加斯加暴发肺鼠疫疫情,不排除病例输入我国的风险,且不排除疫情输入后导致局部小范围传播的可能性,但发生大规模流行的可能性极低。结论 预计11月全国总报告事件数和病例数将较10月份有所上升。需重点关注人感染H7N9禽流感、流行性感冒、登革热、鼠疫等传染病以及非职业一氧化碳中毒的公共卫生风险。

     

    Abstract: Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China in November 2017. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels,and the experts in the provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference. Results Sporadic cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus might occur. The incidences of seasonal influenza and other respiratory diseasemight increase. Dengue fever epidemic would gradually weaken in November, but imported case might induce local outbreak in tropical areas, such as Hainan province. Recentplague epidemic in Madagascarposes a risk of the disease spread to China, causing local transmission, but the possibility of large scale transmission is low. Conclusion It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in November would be higher than that in October in China; and it is necessary to pay close attention to the public health impact of human infection with H7N9 virus,seasonal influenza, dengue fever, plague and non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning.

     

/

返回文章
返回