王琳, 刘晓君, 谢俊卿, 王梅, 白俊梅, 武宇晨, 信振江. 1989-2016年北京市丰台区甲乙类传染病流行趋势分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2018, 33(6): 498-502. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.06.013
引用本文: 王琳, 刘晓君, 谢俊卿, 王梅, 白俊梅, 武宇晨, 信振江. 1989-2016年北京市丰台区甲乙类传染病流行趋势分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2018, 33(6): 498-502. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.06.013
Wang Lin, Liu Xiaojun, Xie Junqing, Wang Mei, Bai Junmei, Wu Yuchen, Xin Zhenjiang. Incidence pattern of notifiable communicable diseases in Fengtai district of Beijing, 1989-2016[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2018, 33(6): 498-502. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.06.013
Citation: Wang Lin, Liu Xiaojun, Xie Junqing, Wang Mei, Bai Junmei, Wu Yuchen, Xin Zhenjiang. Incidence pattern of notifiable communicable diseases in Fengtai district of Beijing, 1989-2016[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2018, 33(6): 498-502. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.06.013

1989-2016年北京市丰台区甲乙类传染病流行趋势分析

Incidence pattern of notifiable communicable diseases in Fengtai district of Beijing, 1989-2016

  • 摘要: 目的 了解1989-2016年北京市丰台区甲乙类传染病流行趋势。方法 采用年估计百分比变化法描述甲乙类传染病发病、死亡的时间变化,采用Pearson相关性分析研究全病种与持续监测病种发病、死亡趋势的相关关系。结果 1989-2016年,丰台区甲乙类传染病发病率由778.43/10万下降到170.91/10万,发病以肠道传染病为主,呼吸道传染病发病构成上升;艾滋病发病率由0.26/10万上升到5.77/10万,梅毒发病率由0.14/10万上升到18.24/10万;肺结核发病顺位由第4位升至第2位,梅毒由第5位升至第3位;全病种与持续监测病种发病、死亡趋势一致(发病:r=0.989,P<0.001;死亡:r=0.924,P<0.001);死因顺位前3位为病毒性肝炎、肺结核和艾滋病;2004-2016年甲乙类传染病粗死亡率由0.59/10万上升到1.59/10万,标化死亡率由0.75/10万下降到0.54/10万。结论 28年间丰台区甲乙类传染病发病率明显下降,持续监测病种较全病种年均死亡率上升更明显;细菌性痢疾、肺结核、艾滋病与梅毒是丰台区甲乙类传染病中应重点防控的疾病。

     

    Abstract: Objective To understand the incidence pattern of communicable diseases in class A and B in Fengtai district of Beijing from 1989 to 2016. Methods The estimated annual percentage change was calculated to describe the changes in morbidity and mortality rates of the communicable diseases over time,and correlation analysis was conducted to assess the trends of morbidity and mortality between the communicable diseases under consecutive surveillance and all the communicable diseases in class A and B. Results From 1989 to 2016,the morbidity rate of communicable diseases in class A and B in Fengtai decreased from 778.43/100 000 to 170.91/100 000. Intestinal infectious infections were the major diseases and the proportion of respiratory infectious diseases increased. The morbidity rate of AIDS increased from 0.26/100 000 to 5.77/100 000,while the morbidity of syphilis increased from 0.14/100 000 to 18.24/100 000. The morbidity of pulmonary tuberculosis ranked 2nd from 4th and the morbidity of syphilis ranked 3rd from 5th. The morbidity and mortality of the communicable diseases under consecutive surveillance were similar to those of all the communicable diseases (morbidity:r=0.989,P=0.000;mortality:r=0.924,P=0.000). The first three leading causes of deaths were viral hepatitis,pulmonary tuberculosis and AIDS. From 2004 to 2016,the crude mortality rate of the communicable diseases in class A and B increased from 0.59/100 000 to 1.59/100 000,while the standardized mortality rate decreased from 0.75/100 000 to 0.54/100 000. Conclusion The overall morbidity rate of communicable diseases in Class A and B decrease decreased in Fengtai during this period. The average annual mortality rate of the communicable diseases under consecutive surveillance increased more obviously compared with that of all the communicable diseases. Bacterial dysentery,pulmonary tuberculosis,AIDS and syphilis were the major diseases,to which much attention should be paid.

     

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